Ohio State at Iowa: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Feb 20, 2020 7:00 pm - Iowa City, IA
Odds: Iowa by 1.5, Total Points: 144

More Games From Feb 20, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring OSU IOWA
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting OSU IOWA
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 63.4 63.9
Field Goal % 42.6% 45.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 33.6 38.8
2 Point Shooting % 45.5% 50.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 29.8 25.2
3 Point Shooting % 39.3% 38.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 19.5 20.4
Free Throw % 74.9% 71.9%
Ball Control OSU IOWA
Rebounds 39.2 37.6
Rebounds - Defensive 26.1 25.7
Rebounds - Offensive 13.2 11.8
Turnovers 9.4 7.4
Blocked Shots 3.2 3.7
Steals 3.2 4.7
Fouls 15.4 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OSU IOWA
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with OSU IOWA
2 Point Attempt 39.0% 45.7%
3 Point Attempt 34.5% 29.7%
Player Fouled 20.3% 21.5%
Turnover 13.1% 10.3%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 4.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken OSU IOWA
Shot Blocked 5.9% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 33.8% 31.2%