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Belmont at Memphis : Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Nov 15, 2011 12:00 pm - Memphis, TN
Odds: Memphis by 3, Total Points: 143

More Games From Nov 15, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring BELM MEM
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting BELM MEM
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 58.1 53.8
Field Goal % 44.5% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 21.8 36.5
2 Point Shooting % 54.7% 52.8%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 36.3 17.3
3 Point Shooting % 38.4% 32.0%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 13.9 20.4
Free Throw % 71.6% 68.3%
Ball Control BELM MEM
Rebounds 32.3 34.7
Rebounds - Defensive 23.2 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 9.6
Turnovers 10.6 11.0
Blocked Shots 2.1 3.1
Steals 5.6 5.2
Fouls 16.7 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BELM MEM
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with BELM MEM
2 Point Attempt 27.7% 46.4%
3 Point Attempt 46.2% 22.0%
Player Fouled 20.3% 24.5%
Turnover 15.6% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken BELM MEM
Shot Blocked 5.8% 3.6%
Offensive Rebound 26.6% 29.4%