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Belmont at SE Missouri: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Jan 9, 2020 8:15 pm - Cape Girardeau, MO
Odds: Belmont by 12, Total Points: 145

Matchup Menu: BEL @ SEMO

More Games From Jan 9, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring BEL SEMO
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting BEL SEMO
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 53.9 62.2
Field Goal % 53.4% 38.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 34.1 41.9
2 Point Shooting % 64.1% 43.2%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 19.8 20.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 27.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 25.1 13.7
Free Throw % 73.1% 70.6%
Ball Control BEL SEMO
Rebounds 37.7 31.9
Rebounds - Defensive 30.9 22.3
Rebounds - Offensive 6.8 9.6
Turnovers 10.7 11.6
Blocked Shots 2.8 2.3
Steals 7.2 5.0
Fouls 12.9 18.5

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BEL SEMO
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with BEL SEMO
2 Point Attempt 42.3% 50.1%
3 Point Attempt 24.5% 24.2%
Player Fouled 25.4% 17.6%
Turnover 14.7% 15.9%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 9.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken BEL SEMO
Shot Blocked 3.7% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 23.4% 23.7%