Belmont at Saint Louis: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Nov 23, 2019 5:00 pm - St. Louis, MO
Odds: Belmont by 2, Total Points: 146

More Games From Nov 23, 2019

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring BEL SLU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting BEL SLU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 58.5 58.6
Field Goal % 49.4% 46.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 30.6 35.7
2 Point Shooting % 58.5% 52.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 27.9 22.9
3 Point Shooting % 39.5% 35.4%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 19.7
Free Throw % 73.1% 75.1%
Ball Control BEL SLU
Rebounds 32.5 34.5
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 25.7
Rebounds - Offensive 7.0 8.7
Turnovers 9.2 11.0
Blocked Shots 3.1 2.9
Steals 6.9 5.7
Fouls 14.8 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BEL SLU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with BEL SLU
2 Point Attempt 37.9% 43.1%
3 Point Attempt 34.5% 27.6%
Player Fouled 21.6% 20.3%
Turnover 12.7% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken BEL SLU
Shot Blocked 5.0% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 21.3% 25.5%