Rider at Stony Brook: Box Score Simulation

Monday Nov 20, 2023 6:31 pm - Stony Brook, NY
Odds: Stony Brook by 2, Total Points: 136.5

More Games From Nov 20, 2023

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring RID STON
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting RID STON
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 61.7 58.2
Field Goal % 41.7% 42.7%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 41.4 37.0
2 Point Shooting % 43.8% 47.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 20.2 21.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.4% 35.0%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 17.0 21.3
Free Throw % 76.4% 72.9%
Ball Control RID STON
Rebounds 39.0 35.6
Rebounds - Defensive 27.8 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 8.8
Turnovers 9.5 8.6
Blocked Shots 2.7 2.4
Steals 5.4 6.1
Fouls 15.0 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RID STON
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with RID STON
2 Point Attempt 49.9% 45.9%
3 Point Attempt 24.4% 26.2%
Player Fouled 18.5% 21.2%
Turnover 13.5% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken RID STON
Shot Blocked 4.1% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 29.5% 24.0%