Rider at Siena : Box Score Simulation

Thursday Jan 12, 2012 7:00 pm - Albany, NY
Odds: Siena by 4, Total Points: 140.5

More Games From Jan 12, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring RIDR SIEN
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting RIDR SIEN
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 58.2 55.1
Field Goal % 39.3% 44.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 38.3 37.8
2 Point Shooting % 45.1% 47.2%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 19.9 17.4
3 Point Shooting % 28.2% 37.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 22.0 23.9
Free Throw % 70.5% 72.0%
Ball Control RIDR SIEN
Rebounds 33.3 39.9
Rebounds - Defensive 23.5 28.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 10.9
Turnovers 10.8 13.1
Blocked Shots 3.5 3.9
Steals 6.3 5.9
Fouls 17.9 17.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RIDR SIEN
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with RIDR SIEN
2 Point Attempt 45.8% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 23.7% 20.5%
Player Fouled 24.6% 24.7%
Turnover 14.9% 18.2%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken RIDR SIEN
Shot Blocked 7.3% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 25.3% 31.8%