Boise St at Nevada: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Jan 4, 2020 6:00 pm - Reno, NV
Odds: Nevada by 3.5, Total Points: 152

More Games From Jan 4, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring BSU NEV
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting BSU NEV
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 54.7 49.1
Field Goal % 41.0% 46.6%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 31.8 31.8
2 Point Shooting % 47.3% 54.5%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 22.9 17.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.4% 32.0%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 22.2 23.9
Free Throw % 74.3% 71.2%
Ball Control BSU NEV
Rebounds 34.9 30.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.1 24.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 6.3
Turnovers 9.7 9.9
Blocked Shots 1.8 3.4
Steals 4.5 5.0
Fouls 19.5 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BSU NEV
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with BSU NEV
2 Point Attempt 40.1% 42.8%
3 Point Attempt 28.8% 23.3%
Player Fouled 24.2% 29.0%
Turnover 14.4% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken BSU NEV
Shot Blocked 7.0% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 30.7% 20.7%