Boise St at New Mexico: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Jan 15, 2022 5:30 pm - Albuquerque, NM
Odds: Boise St. by 8.5, Total Points: 144

More Games From Jan 15, 2022

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring BSU UNM
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting BSU UNM
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 59.2 59.7
Field Goal % 42.3% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 36.5 41.9
2 Point Shooting % 49.1% 53.5%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 22.7 17.7
3 Point Shooting % 31.4% 28.4%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 19.8
Free Throw % 74.3% 72.3%
Ball Control BSU UNM
Rebounds 37.2 34.6
Rebounds - Defensive 26.2 25.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 9.0
Turnovers 10.9 8.8
Blocked Shots 3.0 5.4
Steals 4.9 6.4
Fouls 15.3 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BSU UNM
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with BSU UNM
2 Point Attempt 43.2% 51.4%
3 Point Attempt 26.9% 21.7%
Player Fouled 20.8% 21.4%
Turnover 15.3% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken BSU UNM
Shot Blocked 9.2% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 30.0% 25.5%