Boise State at Air Force

  Saturday Feb 11, 2012 - 9:00 pm - Colorado Springs, CO | Odds: Air Force by 2, Total Points: 121.5 | Team Pages: BSU | AFA

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring BSU AFA
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting BSU AFA
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 50.0 49.1
Field Goal % 52.0% 46.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 24.2 29.1
2 Point Shooting % 61.1% 56.5%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 25.7 20.0
3 Point Shooting % 43.5% 32.0%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 15.9 13.8
Free Throw % 72.7% 64.6%

Ball Control BSU AFA
Rebounds 29.2 26.1
Rebounds - Defensive 22.1 19.3
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 6.8
Turnovers 9.2 11.2
Blocked Shots 2.9 1.9
Steals 5.8 4.4
Fouls 14.7 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BSU AFA
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with BSU AFA
2 Point Attempt 34.7% 41.6%
3 Point Attempt 36.9% 28.6%
Player Fouled 24.4% 23.8%
Turnover 14.9% 18.0%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 9.4%

Odds Per Shot Taken BSU AFA
Shot Blocked 3.8% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 27.0% 23.5%