Alcorn State at Jackson St: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Feb 8, 2020 6:30 pm - Jackson, MS
Odds: Jackson State by 3, Total Points: 139

More Games From Feb 8, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting ALCN JKST
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 53.0 46.6
Field Goal % 40.1% 46.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 34.2 32.9
2 Point Shooting % 44.8% 53.4%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 18.7 13.7
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 28.9%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 27.5 28.0
Free Throw % 72.7% 76.8%
Ball Control ALCN JKST
Rebounds 31.2 33.8
Rebounds - Defensive 20.0 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 9.0
Turnovers 12.8 16.0
Blocked Shots 1.1 3.1
Steals 6.3 7.0
Fouls 17.0 18.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +1.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ALCN JKST
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with ALCN JKST
2 Point Attempt 40.6% 40.5%
3 Point Attempt 22.2% 16.8%
Player Fouled 25.9% 23.6%
Turnover 17.8% 22.2%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken ALCN JKST
Shot Blocked 6.7% 2.2%
Offensive Rebound 31.1% 31.1%