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Alcorn State at W Virginia : Box Score Simulation

Thursday Nov 17, 2011 7:00 pm - Morgantown, WV
Odds: N/A Total Points: N/A

More Games From Nov 17, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting ACRN WVIR
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 45.6 55.1
Field Goal % 36.1% 49.1%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 29.4 37.7
2 Point Shooting % 40.3% 54.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 16.2 17.4
3 Point Shooting % 28.4% 38.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 25.5 34.4
Free Throw % 68.2% 67.9%
Ball Control ACRN WVIR
Rebounds 26.6 41.8
Rebounds - Defensive 18.3 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 16.3
Turnovers 17.4 10.2
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.5
Steals 3.9 9.3
Fouls 20.1 19.2

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ACRN WVIR
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with ACRN WVIR
2 Point Attempt 36.5% 42.7%
3 Point Attempt 20.1% 19.7%
Player Fouled 27.1% 28.4%
Turnover 24.5% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 13.1% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken ACRN WVIR
Shot Blocked 6.4% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 24.6% 47.1%