Bradley at Drexel : Box Score Simulation

Saturday Dec 17, 2011 4:00 pm - Philadelphia, PA
Odds: Drexel by 10, Total Points: 125

More Games From Dec 17, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring BRAD DRXL
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting BRAD DRXL
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 43.8 48.1
Field Goal % 41.3% 37.6%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 29.6 33.6
2 Point Shooting % 47.1% 40.2%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 14.1 14.5
3 Point Shooting % 29.2% 31.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 24.3 27.9
Free Throw % 70.1% 69.4%
Ball Control BRAD DRXL
Rebounds 33.1 31.7
Rebounds - Defensive 26.3 23.0
Rebounds - Offensive 6.8 8.7
Turnovers 14.8 10.3
Blocked Shots 2.4 3.3
Steals 4.0 5.8
Fouls 20.7 21.2

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BRAD DRXL
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with BRAD DRXL
2 Point Attempt 39.6% 43.9%
3 Point Attempt 18.9% 19.0%
Player Fouled 31.7% 31.1%
Turnover 22.2% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken BRAD DRXL
Shot Blocked 6.9% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 22.8% 24.9%