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St Bonavent at Siena

  Monday Nov 21, 2011 - 7:00 pm - Albany, NY | Odds: St. Bonaventure by 6, Total Points: 134.5 | Team Pages: SBON | SIEN

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SBON SIEN
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting SBON SIEN
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 51.6 56.0
Field Goal % 47.7% 39.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 37.1 40.9
2 Point Shooting % 54.3% 41.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 14.5 15.0
3 Point Shooting % 31.2% 34.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 28.8 20.3
Free Throw % 70.7% 72.3%

Ball Control SBON SIEN
Rebounds 38.1 30.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.3 18.9
Rebounds - Offensive 12.9 11.1
Turnovers 11.8 11.8
Blocked Shots 5.8 3.7
Steals 6.5 6.1
Fouls 15.5 17.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SBON SIEN
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with SBON SIEN
2 Point Attempt 44.6% 49.8%
3 Point Attempt 17.5% 18.3%
Player Fouled 25.9% 22.5%
Turnover 17.2% 17.2%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 9.4%

Odds Per Shot Taken SBON SIEN
Shot Blocked 6.8% 11.4%
Offensive Rebound 40.5% 30.5%