St Bonavent at Dayton: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Jan 22, 2020 7:00 pm - Dayton, OH
Odds: Dayton by 17, Total Points: 139

More Games From Jan 22, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SBON DAY
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting SBON DAY
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 58.5 53.1
Field Goal % 39.3% 50.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 40.4 27.9
2 Point Shooting % 41.9% 62.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 18.2 25.2
3 Point Shooting % 33.6% 37.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 15.6 19.9
Free Throw % 74.3% 71.8%
Ball Control SBON DAY
Rebounds 33.1 33.9
Rebounds - Defensive 23.0 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 6.5
Turnovers 10.2 9.9
Blocked Shots 2.5 2.9
Steals 4.1 4.1
Fouls 16.8 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SBON DAY
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with SBON DAY
2 Point Attempt 50.6% 36.8%
3 Point Attempt 22.8% 33.1%
Player Fouled 20.0% 24.6%
Turnover 14.9% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken SBON DAY
Shot Blocked 5.6% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 27.0% 22.2%