Purdue at Maryland: Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Feb 12, 2019 6:30 pm - College Park, MD
Odds: Purdue by 2.5, Total Points: 139

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring PUR MD
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting PUR MD
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 54.5 60.1
Field Goal % 45.5% 37.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 37.6 37.7
2 Point Shooting % 49.7% 44.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 16.9 22.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 26.6%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 25.5 16.0
Free Throw % 73.0% 73.1%
Ball Control PUR MD
Rebounds 42.3 31.1
Rebounds - Defensive 29.9 21.3
Rebounds - Offensive 12.4 9.7
Turnovers 10.7 9.0
Blocked Shots 3.5 2.7
Steals 4.8 5.8
Fouls 13.7 18.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PUR MD
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with PUR MD
2 Point Attempt 45.6% 47.0%
3 Point Attempt 20.5% 28.0%
Player Fouled 27.2% 19.8%
Turnover 15.5% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken PUR MD
Shot Blocked 4.6% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 36.8% 24.6%