Purdue vs. Alabama : Box Score Simulation

Sunday Nov 20, 2011 8:00 pm - San Juan, PR (Neutral Site)
Odds: Alabama by 2.5, Total Points: 132.5

More Games From Nov 20, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring PURD ALA
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting PURD ALA
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 58.7 60.3
Field Goal % 45.6% 37.1%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 33.7 41.2
2 Point Shooting % 50.6% 41.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 25.0 19.2
3 Point Shooting % 38.9% 28.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 21.9 16.7
Free Throw % 75.5% 71.6%
Ball Control PURD ALA
Rebounds 39.5 35.6
Rebounds - Defensive 30.0 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 10.1
Turnovers 10.5 12.9
Blocked Shots 4.6 2.2
Steals 6.2 5.7
Fouls 15.0 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PURD ALA
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with PURD ALA
2 Point Attempt 40.3% 48.3%
3 Point Attempt 29.8% 22.5%
Player Fouled 22.2% 20.4%
Turnover 14.3% 17.6%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken PURD ALA
Shot Blocked 3.7% 7.9%
Offensive Rebound 27.2% 25.2%