Montana St at Portland St: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Jan 11, 2018 11:00 pm - Portland, OR
Odds: Portland St. by 9, Total Points: 165

More Games From Jan 11, 2018

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring MTST PRST
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting MTST PRST
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 54.5 57.1
Field Goal % 47.9% 41.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 31.7 37.2
2 Point Shooting % 54.3% 46.5%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 22.9 19.9
3 Point Shooting % 39.0% 31.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 19.6 23.6
Free Throw % 72.4% 69.4%
Ball Control MTST PRST
Rebounds 32.7 36.4
Rebounds - Defensive 26.6 25.3
Rebounds - Offensive 6.1 11.1
Turnovers 12.3 11.5
Blocked Shots 2.5 2.7
Steals 6.5 6.1
Fouls 17.2 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MTST PRST
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with MTST PRST
2 Point Attempt 39.7% 44.0%
3 Point Attempt 28.7% 23.5%
Player Fouled 24.4% 23.7%
Turnover 17.0% 15.9%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken MTST PRST
Shot Blocked 4.8% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 19.5% 29.5%