Texas St at Arkansas St: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Jan 10, 2026 3:00 pm - Jonesboro, AR
Odds: Arkansas State by 11.5, Total Points: 156

Matchup Menu: TXST @ ARST

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Over/Under Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Under 156.0 Official TR Pick 52% odds to go under
Under 156.0 Decision Tree 52% odds to go under
Over 156.0 Similar Games 51% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record TXST ARST
Season 13-12-0 12-11-1
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 8-6-0 7-5-1
Streak Un 3 Ov 1
Last 5 1-4-0 1-4-0
Last 10 4-6-0 5-5-0
Home 5-8-0 3-6-1
Away 8-4-0 9-5-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Texas St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
11/03 Away Bowling Green 146.0 48-83 Under -15.0
11/05 Home Texas A&M-San Antonio -- 114-55 Under --
11/08 Away Tulane 146.0 71-79 Over +4.0
11/12 Home UTSA 147.5 80-69 Over +1.5
11/15 Home Texas So 144.5 77-67 Under -0.5
11/18 Home Abl Christian 138.5 63-49 Under -26.5
11/21 Home Little Rock 130.5 65-56 Under -9.5
11/24 Home Texas Lutheran -- 93-41 Under --
11/28 Neutral Seattle 136.5 52-66 Under -18.5
11/29 Neutral Lehigh 135.0 74-78 Over +17.0
12/03 Away Rice 134.0 72-77 Over +15.0
12/10 Home Southern 142.0 86-83 Over +27.0
12/17 Home Arkansas St 151.5 70-89 Over +7.5
12/20 Home S Alabama 137.0 67-65 Under -5.0
12/31 Away Troy 145.5 80-100 Over +34.5
01/03 Away UL Monroe 150.5 84-79 Over +12.5
01/08 Away Southern Miss 144.5 70-80 Over +5.5
01/10 Away Arkansas St 156.0 82-83 Over +9.0
01/14 Home Louisiana 134.0 59-54 Under -21.0
01/17 Home Southern Miss 140.5 74-67 Over +0.5
01/22 Away Coastal Car 140.5 70-72 Over +1.5
01/24 Away J Madison 144.5 57-82 Under -5.5
01/28 Home Marshall 147.5 72-68 Under -7.5
01/31 Home Old Dominion 143.5 81-64 Over +1.5
02/04 Away Georgia So 151.0 77-71 Under -3.0
02/07 Home W Michigan 146.5 77-61 Under -8.5
02/11 Home Troy 141.0 74-62 Under -5.0

Arkansas St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
11/03 Away Ohio 158.5 89-85 Over +15.5
11/07 Away SF Austin 155.5 65-90 Under -0.5
11/11 Away Missouri St 152.0 86-85 Over +19.0
11/15 Home Christian Brothers -- 95-67 Under --
11/19 Away Saint Mary's 149.5 72-85 Over +7.5
11/21 Away SMU 172.5 69-100 Under -3.5
11/24 Home Jacksonville St 156.0 74-63 Under -19.0
11/28 Home N Dakota St 160.5 85-80 Over +4.5
12/02 Home UT Arlington 151.5 83-63 Under -5.5
12/06 Away Little Rock 147.5 90-78 Over +20.5
12/13 Away Rice 156.5 76-77 Under -3.5
12/17 Away Texas St 151.5 89-70 Over +7.5
12/20 Away Southern Miss 155.5 93-86 Over +23.5
12/30 Home Arkansas Tech -- 107-63 Under --
01/03 Home J Madison 159.0 74-78 Under -7.0
01/07 Home Troy 160.0 86-74 Push 0.0
01/10 Home Texas St 156.0 83-82 Over +9.0
01/15 Away S Alabama 154.0 87-91 Over +24.0
01/17 Away Troy 166.0 74-99 Over +7.0
01/22 Away Georgia So 175.0 85-68 Under -22.0
01/24 Away Georgia St 156.5 81-82 Over +6.5
01/28 Home Old Dominion 159.5 71-75 Under -13.5
01/31 Home Marshall 165.5 61-70 Under -34.5
02/04 Away Coastal Car 152.0 70-66 Under -16.0
02/07 Home Bowling Green 154.5 91-54 Under -9.5
02/11 Home UL Monroe 162.5 103-70 Over +10.5