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Quinnipiac at U Penn

  Wednesday Mar 14, 2012 - 7:30 pm - Philadelphia, PA | Odds: Pennsylvania by 4.5, Total Points: 129.5 | Team Pages: QUIN | PENN

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring QUIN PENN
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting QUIN PENN
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 58.8 56.2
Field Goal % 40.0% 39.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 41.1 40.2
2 Point Shooting % 42.4% 40.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 17.7 16.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 36.4%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 21.1 18.3
Free Throw % 76.6% 67.1%

Ball Control QUIN PENN
Rebounds 42.8 31.9
Rebounds - Defensive 27.9 23.1
Rebounds - Offensive 14.9 8.9
Turnovers 9.9 10.3
Blocked Shots 6.7 2.6
Steals 3.3 4.5
Fouls 15.6 17.4

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats QUIN PENN
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with QUIN PENN
2 Point Attempt 49.2% 50.8%
3 Point Attempt 21.2% 20.3%
Player Fouled 25.7% 23.1%
Turnover 14.6% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 4.9%

Odds Per Shot Taken QUIN PENN
Shot Blocked 4.8% 11.5%
Offensive Rebound 39.2% 24.1%