Quinnipiac at St Peters: Box Score Simulation

Friday Feb 14, 2020 7:00 pm - Jersey City, NJ
Odds: St. Peter's by 4.5, Total Points: 133

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring QUIN SPC
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting QUIN SPC
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 53.6 61.7
Field Goal % 39.5% 40.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 26.8 42.2
2 Point Shooting % 43.8% 42.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 26.8 19.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 36.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 17.3 17.1
Free Throw % 75.3% 71.1%
Ball Control QUIN SPC
Rebounds 35.9 37.4
Rebounds - Defensive 27.6 25.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 11.5
Turnovers 14.5 9.7
Blocked Shots 4.7 5.6
Steals 4.6 7.3
Fouls 13.5 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats QUIN SPC
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with QUIN SPC
2 Point Attempt 33.3% 50.5%
3 Point Attempt 33.2% 23.5%
Player Fouled 23.3% 19.2%
Turnover 20.7% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 10.4% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken QUIN SPC
Shot Blocked 9.3% 9.0%
Offensive Rebound 24.3% 29.4%