Creighton at Butler: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Jan 4, 2020 12:00 pm - Indianapolis, IN
Odds: Butler by 4.5, Total Points: 134.5

More Games From Jan 4, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CREI BUT
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting CREI BUT
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 63.6 68.7
Field Goal % 49.5% 40.8%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 34.7 49.2
2 Point Shooting % 61.2% 43.6%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 28.9 19.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 33.9%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 11.7 9.3
Free Throw % 80.2% 80.2%
Ball Control CREI BUT
Rebounds 40.8 33.4
Rebounds - Defensive 33.0 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 8.0
Turnovers 9.6 7.0
Blocked Shots 4.0 2.4
Steals 4.2 5.1
Fouls 9.5 11.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CREI BUT
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with CREI BUT
2 Point Attempt 42.7% 59.9%
3 Point Attempt 35.5% 23.7%
Player Fouled 16.0% 13.1%
Turnover 13.2% 9.7%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken CREI BUT
Shot Blocked 3.6% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 23.3% 19.4%