Creighton at Drake : Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Jan 25, 2012 8:05 pm - Des Moines, IA
Odds: Creighton by 5.5, Total Points: 146

More Games From Jan 25, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting CRTN DRKE
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 62.9 61.0
Field Goal % 53.1% 42.6%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 33.9 37.1
2 Point Shooting % 67.6% 48.9%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 29.0 23.9
3 Point Shooting % 36.3% 32.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 13.2 13.4
Free Throw % 77.0% 77.2%
Ball Control CRTN DRKE
Rebounds 36.6 31.0
Rebounds - Defensive 30.0 24.7
Rebounds - Offensive 6.5 6.4
Turnovers 9.4 11.4
Blocked Shots 3.2 1.4
Steals 5.2 4.9
Fouls 13.0 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CRTN DRKE
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with CRTN DRKE
2 Point Attempt 41.9% 45.4%
3 Point Attempt 35.8% 29.3%
Player Fouled 18.0% 17.6%
Turnover 12.7% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken CRTN DRKE
Shot Blocked 2.4% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 21.0% 17.5%