Middle Tenn at Vanderbilt: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Jan 28, 2012 2:00 pm - Nashville, TN
Odds: Vanderbilt by 7.5, Total Points: 129

More Games From Jan 28, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring MTU VAN
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting MTU VAN
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 56.0 50.9
Field Goal % 42.4% 49.6%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 34.6 31.7
2 Point Shooting % 47.5% 56.5%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 21.4 19.2
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 38.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 18.5 29.4
Free Throw % 65.6% 70.5%
Ball Control MTU VAN
Rebounds 32.0 34.4
Rebounds - Defensive 23.0 26.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 7.7
Turnovers 14.1 12.0
Blocked Shots 3.5 3.1
Steals 5.2 7.0
Fouls 22.1 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MTU VAN
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with MTU VAN
2 Point Attempt 41.6% 38.7%
3 Point Attempt 25.8% 23.5%
Player Fouled 20.9% 30.3%
Turnover 19.4% 16.5%
Opponent Steal 9.6% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken MTU VAN
Shot Blocked 6.2% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 25.3% 25.1%