Middle Tenn at UAB: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Feb 12, 2020 8:00 pm - Birmingham, AL
Odds: UAB by 7.5, Total Points: 134

More Games From Feb 12, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring MTU UAB
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting MTU UAB
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 58.3 60.4
Field Goal % 38.3% 46.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 34.2 45.4
2 Point Shooting % 42.9% 50.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 24.1 15.1
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 33.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 18.9 24.3
Free Throw % 71.4% 74.3%
Ball Control MTU UAB
Rebounds 33.7 40.6
Rebounds - Defensive 23.7 28.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 12.2
Turnovers 11.9 8.6
Blocked Shots 4.1 5.2
Steals 4.3 5.6
Fouls 15.5 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MTU UAB
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with MTU UAB
2 Point Attempt 41.0% 53.3%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 17.7%
Player Fouled 19.8% 21.7%
Turnover 16.6% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken MTU UAB
Shot Blocked 8.7% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 26.1% 34.0%