Presbyterian at Duke : Box Score Simulation

Saturday Nov 12, 2011 4:30 pm - Durham, NC
Odds: Duke by 29.5, Total Points: 140

More Games From Nov 12, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting PRES DUKE
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 52.4
Field Goal % 37.5% 56.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 44.0 28.8
2 Point Shooting % 40.7% 68.8%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 14.3 23.6
3 Point Shooting % 27.8% 40.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 12.2 31.1
Free Throw % 70.7% 70.5%
Ball Control PRES DUKE
Rebounds 25.0 41.3
Rebounds - Defensive 17.5 30.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 11.1
Turnovers 12.3 9.1
Blocked Shots 1.4 5.9
Steals 4.1 6.2
Fouls 20.8 13.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PRES DUKE
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with PRES DUKE
2 Point Attempt 55.3% 35.3%
3 Point Attempt 18.0% 29.0%
Player Fouled 18.6% 29.9%
Turnover 17.6% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken PRES DUKE
Shot Blocked 11.3% 2.4%
Offensive Rebound 19.9% 38.9%