Duke at Georgia Tech: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Dec 21, 2024 12:00 pm - Atlanta, GA
Odds: Duke by 15.5, Total Points: 143.5

Matchup Menu: DUKE @ GT

More Games From Dec 21, 2024

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring DUKE GT
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting DUKE GT
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 59.9 57.6
Field Goal % 49.6% 38.9%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 31.4 36.2
2 Point Shooting % 62.0% 42.9%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 28.5 21.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.9% 32.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 24.9 12.9
Free Throw % 70.9% 71.9%
Ball Control DUKE GT
Rebounds 42.9 28.1
Rebounds - Defensive 29.7 21.2
Rebounds - Offensive 13.2 7.0
Turnovers 9.1 13.1
Blocked Shots 4.4 2.8
Steals 9.3 5.2
Fouls 13.5 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DUKE GT
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with DUKE GT
2 Point Attempt 36.6% 45.2%
3 Point Attempt 33.3% 26.8%
Player Fouled 22.8% 19.0%
Turnover 12.7% 18.4%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 13.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken DUKE GT
Shot Blocked 4.9% 7.4%
Offensive Rebound 38.4% 19.0%