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Duke at North Carolina: Recap
Saturday Mar 8, 2025 6:30 pm -
Chapel Hill, NC
Odds:
Duke by 10,
Total Points:
160.5
Matchup Menu: DUKE @ UNC
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke | DUKE | 78.7% | ||
| UNC | 21.3% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC +9.5 | DUKE | 47.5% | ||
| UNC | 52.5% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 159.5 | Over | 48.9% | ||
| Under | 51.1% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC +380 | DUKE | -4.6% | ||
| UNC | +0.4% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE | 83.9 | 84.5 | 82 |
| UNC | 75.1 | 75.0 | 69 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | DUKE | UNC |
|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 81.6 | 79.7 |
| Avg Score Margin | +18.0 | +8.1 |
| Assists/Game | 16.6 | 16.0 |
| Total Rebounds/Gm | 40.3 | 38.2 |
| Effective FG % | 56.7% | 54.3% |
| Off Rebound % | 36.8% | 28.8% |
| FTA/FGA | 0.382 | 0.371 |
| Turnover % | 13.4% | 12.0% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | DUKE | UNC |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 63.6 | 71.6 |
| Opp Effective FG % | 46.2% | 48.3% |
| Off Rebounds/Gm | 10.8 | 8.9 |
| Def Rebounds/Gm | 26.4 | 25.9 |
| Blocks/Game | 3.4 | 3.4 |
| Steals/Game | 7.4 | 5.4 |
| Personal Fouls/Gm | 15.5 | 14.7 |