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Central Conn at Michigan St

  Wednesday Dec 7, 2011 - 7:00 pm - East Lansing, MI | Odds: Michigan St by 18.5, Total Points: 140.5 | Team Pages: CCST | MIST

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CCST MIST
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting CCST MIST
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 55.0 59.7
Field Goal % 31.2% 53.7%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 39.7 39.1
2 Point Shooting % 32.8% 60.2%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 15.3 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 26.8% 41.4%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 14.4 16.0
Free Throw % 67.0% 63.3%

Ball Control CCST MIST
Rebounds 28.2 42.4
Rebounds - Defensive 19.7 31.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 11.4
Turnovers 11.3 7.3
Blocked Shots 2.1 6.5
Steals 3.5 5.4
Fouls 13.0 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CCST MIST
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with CCST MIST
2 Point Attempt 51.8% 50.2%
3 Point Attempt 19.9% 26.4%
Player Fouled 20.3% 19.8%
Turnover 17.2% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 5.4%

Odds Per Shot Taken CCST MIST
Shot Blocked 11.1% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 21.6% 36.6%