Duke at Virginia: Recap

Monday Feb 17, 2025 8:00 pm - Charlottesville, VA
Odds: Duke by 14.5, Total Points: 132.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Duke DUKE 90.0%
UVA 10.0%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
UVA +14.5 DUKE 47.0%
UVA 53.0%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 132.5 Over 46.6%
Under 53.4%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off DUKE -3.5%
UVA -0.6%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
DUKE 72.4 73.5 80
UVA 58.7 59.0 62

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat DUKE UVA
Points/Game 83.2 64.8
Avg Score Margin +21.5 -2.0
Assists/Game 16.9 14.7
Total Rebounds/Gm 38.5 29.3
Effective FG % 57.9% 52.7%
Off Rebound % 33.3% 20.6%
FTA/FGA 0.320 0.264
Turnover % 11.9% 14.7%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat DUKE UVA
Opp Points/Game 61.7 66.8
Opp Effective FG % 44.1% 50.8%
Off Rebounds/Gm 9.7 5.8
Def Rebounds/Gm 26.2 21.0
Blocks/Game 3.9 3.8
Steals/Game 6.9 5.5
Personal Fouls/Gm 15.7 15.3