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DePaul at W Virginia : Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Feb 28, 2012 7:00 pm - Morgantown, WV
Odds: West Virginia by 14, Total Points: 147

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEP WVIR
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting DEP WVIR
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 48.2 56.2
Field Goal % 38.9% 48.9%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 32.6 36.0
2 Point Shooting % 41.2% 56.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 15.6 20.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 35.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 23.4 27.7
Free Throw % 73.6% 69.4%
Ball Control DEP WVIR
Rebounds 30.5 35.8
Rebounds - Defensive 21.0 23.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 12.7
Turnovers 18.7 11.3
Blocked Shots 2.6 5.1
Steals 4.8 8.7
Fouls 19.5 19.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEP WVIR
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with DEP WVIR
2 Point Attempt 38.9% 41.9%
3 Point Attempt 18.6% 23.4%
Player Fouled 26.4% 26.9%
Turnover 25.8% 15.6%
Opponent Steal 12.1% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEP WVIR
Shot Blocked 9.2% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 29.2% 37.8%