DePaul at W Virginia : Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Feb 28, 2012 7:00 pm - Morgantown, WV
Odds: West Virginia by 14, Total Points: 147

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEP WVIR
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting DEP WVIR
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 54.8 61.8
Field Goal % 37.9% 41.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 36.7 31.7
2 Point Shooting % 41.7% 46.8%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 18.1 30.1
3 Point Shooting % 30.1% 35.4%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 24.5 22.7
Free Throw % 72.4% 74.9%
Ball Control DEP WVIR
Rebounds 38.7 38.4
Rebounds - Defensive 26.7 25.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 12.8
Turnovers 16.2 11.2
Blocked Shots 2.4 4.3
Steals 4.5 8.6
Fouls 17.3 19.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEP WVIR
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with DEP WVIR
2 Point Attempt 41.4% 35.8%
3 Point Attempt 20.4% 34.0%
Player Fouled 25.6% 23.1%
Turnover 21.7% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 11.5% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEP WVIR
Shot Blocked 7.1% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 31.9% 32.4%