DePaul at Notre Dame: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Feb 11, 2012 12:00 pm - South Bend, IN
Odds: Notre Dame by 12, Total Points: 138

More Games From Feb 11, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEP ND
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting DEP ND
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 66.0 61.8
Field Goal % 40.8% 40.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 45.8 31.2
2 Point Shooting % 44.6% 48.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 20.2 30.5
3 Point Shooting % 32.4% 33.0%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 12.7 17.4
Free Throw % 64.2% 72.9%
Ball Control DEP ND
Rebounds 42.0 38.2
Rebounds - Defensive 29.3 28.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.6 9.6
Turnovers 11.2 10.4
Blocked Shots 4.4 3.8
Steals 6.1 6.5
Fouls 15.2 10.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEP ND
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with DEP ND
2 Point Attempt 52.7% 37.1%
3 Point Attempt 23.2% 36.3%
Player Fouled 14.8% 20.9%
Turnover 15.4% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEP ND
Shot Blocked 6.3% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 30.6% 24.6%