UAB at Central FL: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Mar 3, 2012 7:00 pm - Orlando, FL
Odds: Central Florida by 5, Total Points: 121

More Games From Mar 3, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring UAB UCF
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting UAB UCF
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 53.5 54.9
Field Goal % 42.9% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 37.4 32.8
2 Point Shooting % 48.1% 52.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 16.2 22.2
3 Point Shooting % 30.7% 33.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 16.1 16.9
Free Throw % 70.7% 71.3%
Ball Control UAB UCF
Rebounds 35.4 31.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 22.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 8.2
Turnovers 14.9 11.6
Blocked Shots 1.9 2.8
Steals 6.1 6.3
Fouls 16.3 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UAB UCF
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with UAB UCF
2 Point Attempt 46.4% 42.0%
3 Point Attempt 20.1% 28.4%
Player Fouled 20.4% 23.6%
Turnover 21.6% 16.8%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken UAB UCF
Shot Blocked 5.1% 3.6%
Offensive Rebound 31.0% 24.6%