LIU-Brooklyn vs. Michigan St : Box Score Simulation

Friday Mar 16, 2012 9:20 pm - Columbus, OH (Neutral Site)
Odds: Michigan St by 19, Total Points: 153

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting LIUB MIST
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 54.4 56.6
Field Goal % 30.9% 52.7%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 35.5 37.4
2 Point Shooting % 33.0% 61.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 18.9 19.2
3 Point Shooting % 27.0% 35.1%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 24.1 24.5
Free Throw % 68.4% 63.3%
Ball Control LIUB MIST
Rebounds 30.0 43.4
Rebounds - Defensive 20.8 32.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 11.5
Turnovers 11.3 9.4
Blocked Shots 1.4 6.6
Steals 4.1 4.9
Fouls 19.5 19.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LIUB MIST
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with LIUB MIST
2 Point Attempt 43.3% 45.4%
3 Point Attempt 23.1% 23.4%
Player Fouled 27.2% 27.8%
Turnover 16.2% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken LIUB MIST
Shot Blocked 11.8% 2.7%
Offensive Rebound 22.2% 35.5%