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Army at Buffalo: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Dec 14, 2019 2:00 pm - Buffalo, NY
Odds: Buffalo by 15.5, Total Points: 159.5

Matchup Menu: ARMY @ BUFF

More Games From Dec 14, 2019

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring ARMY BUFF
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting ARMY BUFF
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 59.7 55.7
Field Goal % 40.2% 41.9%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 35.4 32.0
2 Point Shooting % 45.3% 50.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 24.3 23.7
3 Point Shooting % 32.7% 29.9%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 13.4 15.3
Free Throw % 60.0% 71.6%
Ball Control ARMY BUFF
Rebounds 36.9 35.8
Rebounds - Defensive 26.3 27.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 8.2
Turnovers 10.4 10.8
Blocked Shots 3.5 4.4
Steals 5.8 6.1
Fouls 12.9 11.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ARMY BUFF
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with ARMY BUFF
2 Point Attempt 44.3% 41.5%
3 Point Attempt 30.4% 30.7%
Player Fouled 17.5% 19.1%
Turnover 15.4% 15.9%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken ARMY BUFF
Shot Blocked 8.0% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 27.8% 23.8%