Maine at Portland: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Nov 16, 2019 10:00 pm - Portland, OR
Odds: Portland by 7, Total Points: 126

More Games From Nov 16, 2019

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring ME PORT
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting ME PORT
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 56.5 50.8
Field Goal % 39.1% 45.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 30.7 32.8
2 Point Shooting % 48.1% 49.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 25.8 18.1
3 Point Shooting % 28.5% 37.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 16.1 23.0
Free Throw % 68.8% 67.0%
Ball Control ME PORT
Rebounds 37.9 31.5
Rebounds - Defensive 26.2 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 6.1
Turnovers 13.7 11.2
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.7
Steals 5.6 6.8
Fouls 19.4 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ME PORT
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with ME PORT
2 Point Attempt 37.3% 42.7%
3 Point Attempt 31.3% 23.5%
Player Fouled 20.3% 27.9%
Turnover 19.7% 16.0%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken ME PORT
Shot Blocked 5.5% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 31.6% 18.9%