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Saint Louis at Charlotte

  Saturday Jan 14, 2012 - 2:00 pm - Charlotte, NC | Odds: Saint Louis by 4.5, Total Points: 124.5 | Team Pages: STL | CHAR

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring STL CHAR
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting STL CHAR
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 52.1 51.1
Field Goal % 44.9% 51.6%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 34.5 36.8
2 Point Shooting % 50.6% 55.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 17.7 14.3
3 Point Shooting % 33.7% 41.1%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 20.9 23.0
Free Throw % 64.2% 65.7%

Ball Control STL CHAR
Rebounds 27.8 34.8
Rebounds - Defensive 19.4 24.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 10.1
Turnovers 12.2 13.1
Blocked Shots 2.1 2.9
Steals 5.1 6.3
Fouls 18.0 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STL CHAR
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with STL CHAR
2 Point Attempt 43.9% 46.0%
3 Point Attempt 22.5% 17.9%
Player Fouled 24.3% 26.1%
Turnover 17.7% 18.9%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 7.4%

Odds Per Shot Taken STL CHAR
Shot Blocked 5.7% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 25.4% 34.3%