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Dartmouth at Rutgers : Box Score Simulation

Friday Nov 11, 2011 7:30 pm - Piscataway, NJ
Odds: Rutgers by 19.5, Total Points: 131

More Games From Nov 11, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting DART RUTG
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 50.2 59.7
Field Goal % 40.0% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 30.1 44.6
2 Point Shooting % 45.7% 51.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 20.1 15.1
3 Point Shooting % 31.4% 31.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 15.6 15.9
Free Throw % 70.3% 65.6%
Ball Control DART RUTG
Rebounds 30.2 37.4
Rebounds - Defensive 23.4 25.6
Rebounds - Offensive 6.8 11.8
Turnovers 14.7 9.4
Blocked Shots 2.7 4.5
Steals 4.1 7.2
Fouls 14.4 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DART RUTG
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with DART RUTG
2 Point Attempt 39.6% 55.5%
3 Point Attempt 26.5% 18.7%
Player Fouled 21.6% 21.3%
Turnover 21.7% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 10.7% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken DART RUTG
Shot Blocked 7.6% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 20.9% 33.5%