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Dartmouth vs. San Francisco: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Nov 23, 2011 11:59 pm - Anchorage, AK (Neutral Site)
Odds: San Francisco by 8.5, Total Points: 131.5

Matchup Menu: DART @ SF

More Games From Nov 23, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring DART SF
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting DART SF
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 48.0 60.0
Field Goal % 38.2% 48.6%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 27.4 33.7
2 Point Shooting % 42.3% 57.6%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 20.6 26.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 37.1%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 17.3 11.6
Free Throw % 66.3% 74.2%
Ball Control DART SF
Rebounds 29.4 35.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 27.8
Rebounds - Offensive 4.8 7.8
Turnovers 14.4 8.2
Blocked Shots 1.8 4.2
Steals 3.5 9.1
Fouls 11.8 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DART SF
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with DART SF
2 Point Attempt 37.0% 44.3%
3 Point Attempt 27.8% 34.5%
Player Fouled 24.3% 17.5%
Turnover 21.3% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 13.5% 5.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken DART SF
Shot Blocked 7.1% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 14.7% 24.0%