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Baylor vs. Missouri

  Saturday Mar 10, 2012 - 6:00 pm - Kansas City, MO (Neutral Site) | Odds: Missouri by 4, Total Points: 149 | Team Pages: BAY | MIZZ

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring BAY MIZZ
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting BAY MIZZ
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 53.4 53.3
Field Goal % 44.8% 39.9%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 33.8 33.5
2 Point Shooting % 48.2% 45.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 19.7 19.8
3 Point Shooting % 38.9% 30.1%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 23.3 13.6
Free Throw % 68.6% 65.1%

Ball Control BAY MIZZ
Rebounds 39.3 28.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.4 19.8
Rebounds - Offensive 13.9 9.1
Turnovers 9.2 10.8
Blocked Shots 3.1 2.8
Steals 6.5 4.8
Fouls 13.2 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BAY MIZZ
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with BAY MIZZ
2 Point Attempt 42.9% 45.3%
3 Point Attempt 25.0% 26.8%
Player Fouled 23.7% 20.8%
Turnover 14.5% 17.0%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 10.2%

Odds Per Shot Taken BAY MIZZ
Shot Blocked 5.4% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 41.4% 26.4%