This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2017-18 NCAA BB season. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2018-19 NCAA BB section, register for a free account.

Mercer at SC Upstate : Box Score Simulation

Monday Jan 9, 2012 7:30 pm - Spartanburg, SC
Odds: N/A Total Points: N/A

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring MERC SCU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting MERC SCU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 56.9 61.2
Field Goal % 54.6% 43.8%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 34.7 25.7
2 Point Shooting % 59.7% 55.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 22.2 35.6
3 Point Shooting % 46.6% 35.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 23.4 13.6
Free Throw % 77.4% 73.9%
Ball Control MERC SCU
Rebounds 37.5 27.7
Rebounds - Defensive 27.6 18.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 8.9
Turnovers 8.7 8.5
Blocked Shots 1.0 3.0
Steals 3.4 4.6
Fouls 12.5 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MERC SCU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with MERC SCU
2 Point Attempt 42.9% 32.5%
3 Point Attempt 27.4% 45.0%
Player Fouled 23.8% 17.9%
Turnover 12.4% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 4.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken MERC SCU
Shot Blocked 5.0% 1.7%
Offensive Rebound 34.5% 24.3%