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Missouri St at Illinois St: Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Jan 7, 2020 8:00 pm - Normal, IL
Odds: Illinois St. by 2.5, Total Points: 126.5

Matchup Menu: MOSU @ ILST

More Games From Jan 7, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring MOSU ILST
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting MOSU ILST
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 57.7 59.5
Field Goal % 44.7% 38.8%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 35.6 36.9
2 Point Shooting % 54.2% 45.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 22.1 22.5
3 Point Shooting % 29.4% 28.0%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 15.8 17.0
Free Throw % 70.3% 73.0%
Ball Control MOSU ILST
Rebounds 38.6 34.3
Rebounds - Defensive 28.6 24.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 9.8
Turnovers 9.6 7.9
Blocked Shots 4.4 2.6
Steals 3.3 5.0
Fouls 14.4 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MOSU ILST
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with MOSU ILST
2 Point Attempt 45.6% 46.9%
3 Point Attempt 28.2% 28.6%
Player Fouled 20.6% 21.4%
Turnover 14.2% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 4.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken MOSU ILST
Shot Blocked 4.5% 7.7%
Offensive Rebound 28.9% 25.5%