Morgan St at Maryland ES: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Feb 25, 2012 4:00 pm - Princess Anne, MD
Odds: N/A, Total Points: N/A

More Games From Feb 25, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting MORG UMES
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 55.3 60.2
Field Goal % 41.4% 33.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 38.2 36.4
2 Point Shooting % 47.3% 39.8%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 17.1 23.8
3 Point Shooting % 28.2% 23.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 25.6 20.0
Free Throw % 69.5% 62.8%
Ball Control MORG UMES
Rebounds 46.3 34.2
Rebounds - Defensive 33.3 23.7
Rebounds - Offensive 13.1 10.6
Turnovers 15.3 12.6
Blocked Shots 4.7 3.7
Steals 5.4 6.9
Fouls 16.0 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MORG UMES
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with MORG UMES
2 Point Attempt 43.0% 41.9%
3 Point Attempt 19.2% 27.4%
Player Fouled 23.3% 21.5%
Turnover 20.6% 16.9%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken MORG UMES
Shot Blocked 6.3% 8.7%
Offensive Rebound 35.6% 24.1%