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N Colorado at Montana: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Jan 19, 2012 9:00 pm - Missoula, MT
Odds: Montana by 10.5, Total Points: 134

Matchup Menu: UNCO @ MONT

More Games From Jan 19, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNCO MONT
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting UNCO MONT
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 59.9 59.4
Field Goal % 48.8% 49.3%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 42.4 35.4
2 Point Shooting % 54.2% 57.2%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 17.5 24.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 37.6%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 16.7 15.4
Free Throw % 74.6% 80.1%
Ball Control UNCO MONT
Rebounds 32.1 32.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 26.1
Rebounds - Offensive 6.8 6.5
Turnovers 8.0 8.7
Blocked Shots 2.3 2.7
Steals 5.2 4.3
Fouls 14.2 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNCO MONT
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with UNCO MONT
2 Point Attempt 53.9% 45.3%
3 Point Attempt 22.2% 30.6%
Player Fouled 18.8% 20.0%
Turnover 11.3% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNCO MONT
Shot Blocked 4.7% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 20.7% 20.5%