This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2023-24 NCAA Basketball season. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2024-25 NCAA Basketball section, register for a free account.

Missouri St at Valparaiso: Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Feb 25, 2020 8:00 pm - Valparaiso, IN
Odds: Pick'em (0), Total Points: 141.5

Matchup Menu: MOSU @ VALP

More Games From Feb 25, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring MOSU VALP
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting MOSU VALP
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 60.0 64.7
Field Goal % 46.9% 37.6%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 40.6 40.2
2 Point Shooting % 53.3% 41.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 19.3 24.5
3 Point Shooting % 33.6% 32.0%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 18.2 12.5
Free Throw % 70.3% 70.2%
Ball Control MOSU VALP
Rebounds 43.8 32.8
Rebounds - Defensive 32.6 23.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 9.5
Turnovers 10.5 7.8
Blocked Shots 3.3 3.9
Steals 4.0 5.3
Fouls 12.1 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MOSU VALP
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with MOSU VALP
2 Point Attempt 48.8% 49.5%
3 Point Attempt 23.2% 30.2%
Player Fouled 19.8% 17.2%
Turnover 14.9% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken MOSU VALP
Shot Blocked 6.2% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 32.5% 22.5%