Morgan St at Howard: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Feb 1, 2020 4:00 pm - Washington, DC
Odds: Morgan St. by 5, Total Points: 149

More Games From Feb 1, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring MORG HOW
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting MORG HOW
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 72.1 55.7
Field Goal % 41.8% 41.8%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 36.1 29.3
2 Point Shooting % 46.6% 53.2%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 36.0 26.3
3 Point Shooting % 37.0% 29.1%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 21.4 30.0
Free Throw % 76.1% 65.9%
Ball Control MORG HOW
Rebounds 44.2 38.4
Rebounds - Defensive 29.8 29.9
Rebounds - Offensive 14.4 8.6
Turnovers 9.0 14.0
Blocked Shots 3.6 4.8
Steals 6.8 5.2
Fouls 21.5 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +1.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MORG HOW
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with MORG HOW
2 Point Attempt 37.8% 32.8%
3 Point Attempt 37.6% 29.5%
Player Fouled 18.4% 27.1%
Turnover 11.3% 17.7%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken MORG HOW
Shot Blocked 8.8% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 32.6% 22.3%