Sam Hous St at Miss State: Box Score Simulation

Friday Nov 8, 2019 8:00 pm - Starkville, MS
Odds: Mississippi State by 15.5, Total Points: 139.5

More Games From Nov 8, 2019

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting SHSU MSST
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 62.6 51.0
Field Goal % 36.1% 52.6%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 42.0 35.1
2 Point Shooting % 39.3% 60.8%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 20.6 15.8
3 Point Shooting % 29.4% 34.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 15.9 29.5
Free Throw % 73.5% 76.7%
Ball Control SHSU MSST
Rebounds 25.7 44.2
Rebounds - Defensive 16.8 32.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 11.4
Turnovers 11.1 15.0
Blocked Shots 2.1 5.6
Steals 7.9 5.9
Fouls 19.1 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SHSU MSST
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with SHSU MSST
2 Point Attempt 49.5% 40.9%
3 Point Attempt 24.3% 18.4%
Player Fouled 20.3% 25.9%
Turnover 15.0% 20.3%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 10.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken SHSU MSST
Shot Blocked 11.0% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 21.4% 40.5%