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Cincinnati at Wright St: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Dec 14, 2011 7:00 pm - Dayton, OH
Odds: Cincinnati by 5, Total Points: 111

Matchup Menu: CIN @ WRST

More Games From Dec 14, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CIN WRST
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting CIN WRST
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 65.7 60.5
Field Goal % 51.7% 44.3%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 41.8 44.9
2 Point Shooting % 59.6% 46.6%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 23.8 15.6
3 Point Shooting % 37.9% 37.9%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 18.1 18.3
Free Throw % 68.9% 75.6%
Ball Control CIN WRST
Rebounds 41.3 29.4
Rebounds - Defensive 27.9 21.6
Rebounds - Offensive 13.4 7.8
Turnovers 10.1 11.1
Blocked Shots 4.9 1.9
Steals 6.8 5.4
Fouls 14.2 13.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CIN WRST
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with CIN WRST
2 Point Attempt 47.3% 53.5%
3 Point Attempt 26.9% 18.6%
Player Fouled 17.5% 19.1%
Turnover 13.6% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken CIN WRST
Shot Blocked 3.2% 7.5%
Offensive Rebound 38.3% 21.8%