Valparaiso at Murray St: Point Spread Analysis

Saturday Jan 10, 2026 4:00 pm - Murray, KY
Odds: Murray State by 12.5, Total Points: 152.5

More Games From Jan 10, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Valparaiso +11.5 Official TR Pick Valparaiso 52% odds to cover
Valparaiso +12.5 Power Rating Model Valparaiso 63% odds to cover
Valparaiso +12.5 Similar Games Valparaiso 52% odds to cover
Valparaiso +11.5 Decision Tree Valparaiso 52% odds to cover
Murray St -11.5 Predictive Ratings Murray St 53% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record VALP adv MURR
Season 15-10-1 14-14-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 10-6-0 7-10-0
Streak L2 L3
Last 5 2-3-0 2-3-0
Last 10 7-3-0 2-8-0
Home 8-5-1 8-6-0
Away 7-5-0 6-8-0

Valparaiso Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/04 Home E Illinois -6.0 W by 3 -3.0
11/07 Away Kentucky +32.0 L by 48 -16.0
11/12 Home Nicholls -2.5 W by 5 +2.5
11/16 Home Bryant -6.5 W by 18 +11.5
11/19 Away Cleveland St +2.5 W by 15 +17.5
11/26 Home S Indiana -9.5 L by 8 -17.5
11/29 Home W Michigan -5.0 W by 29 +24.0
12/02 Away Marquette +17.5 L by 3 +14.5
12/06 Home Calumet -- W by 40 --
12/13 Home NC Wilmington +3.0 L by 3 0.0
12/16 Away Northwestern +14.5 L by 16 -1.5
12/21 Home Murray St +5.0 L by 6 -1.0
12/29 Away N Iowa +8.5 L by 10 -1.5
01/01 Away S Illinois +7.5 L by 5 +2.5
01/04 Home Illinois Chicago -2.5 W by 7 +4.5
01/07 Home Illinois St +6.5 W by 6 +12.5
01/10 Away Murray St +12.5 L by 13 -0.5
01/13 Away Belmont +11.5 L by 4 +7.5
01/17 Home N Iowa +2.0 W by 10 +12.0
01/21 Home S Illinois -2.5 W by 6 +3.5
01/28 Home Belmont +5.5 L by 1 +4.5
01/31 Away Indiana St +2.0 W by 4 +6.0
02/03 Away Bradley +7.5 L by 7 +0.5
02/06 Home Evansville -9.0 W by 7 -2.0
02/09 Away Drake +4.0 W by 5 +9.0
02/12 Away Illinois St +9.0 L by 22 -13.0
02/15 Home Indiana St -4.5 W by 1 -3.5

Murray St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Neutral Omaha -5.5 W by 8 +2.5
11/07 Home Miss Valley St -39.0 W by 48 +9.0
11/11 Away SMU +9.5 L by 11 -1.5
11/15 Home Nicholls -14.5 W by 20 +5.5
11/18 Home Little Rock -14.0 W by 21 +7.0
11/23 Neutral Middle Tenn -7.5 L by 3 -10.5
11/24 Neutral McNeese +2.5 L by 13 -10.5
11/25 Neutral G Washington +7.0 W by 1 +8.0
12/02 Home Morehead St -16.5 W by 32 +15.5
12/06 Home Bellarmine -16.0 W by 13 -3.0
12/13 Neutral Akron +4.5 W by 15 +19.5
12/18 Home Drake -7.5 W by 9 +1.5
12/21 Away Valparaiso -5.0 W by 6 +1.0
12/29 Home S Illinois -6.5 W by 3 -3.5
01/01 Away Illinois Chicago -5.5 W by 4 -1.5
01/04 Home Bradley -5.5 W by 20 +14.5
01/07 Away Evansville -9.0 W by 10 +1.0
01/10 Home Valparaiso -12.5 W by 13 +0.5
01/17 Home Indiana St -11.0 W by 4 -7.0
01/21 Away Drake -4.5 L by 11 -15.5
01/24 Away N Iowa -2.0 L by 5 -7.0
01/28 Home Illinois St -2.5 L by 5 -7.5
01/31 Away Belmont +3.5 L by 17 -13.5
02/03 Home Illinois Chicago -6.0 W by 7 +1.0
02/06 Away S Illinois -1.0 W by 10 +9.0
02/09 Home N Iowa -4.0 L by 29 -33.0
02/12 Away Indiana St -3.5 W by 2 -1.5
02/15 Home Belmont +1.0 L by 17 -16.0