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Valparaiso at Drake: Over/Under Analysis

Monday Feb 9, 2026 7:30 pm - Des Moines, IA
Odds: Drake by 4, Total Points: 144.5

Matchup Menu: VALP @ DRKE

More Games From Feb 9, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 144.5	Official TR Pick	51% odds to go under
Under 144.5	Similar Games	51% odds to go under
Under 144.5	Decision Tree	51% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	VALP	DRKE
Season	17-15-0	18-14-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	12-10-0	13-10-0
Streak	Ov 1	Un 1
Last 5	2-3-0	1-4-0
Last 10	6-4-0	5-5-0
Home	6-10-0	9-6-0
Away	11-5-0	9-8-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Valparaiso Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/04	Home	E Illinois	144.5	66-63	Under	-15.5
11/07	Away	Kentucky	157.0	59-107	Over	+9.0
11/12	Home	Nicholls	143.5	68-63	Under	-12.5
11/16	Home	Bryant	143.5	68-50	Under	-25.5
11/19	Away	Cleveland St	158.5	90-75	Over	+6.5
11/26	Home	S Indiana	150.5	56-64	Under	-30.5
11/29	Home	W Michigan	146.5	84-55	Under	-7.5
12/02	Away	Marquette	146.5	72-75	Over	+0.5
12/06	Home	Calumet	--	98-58	Under	--
12/13	Home	NC Wilmington	137.0	70-73	Over	+6.0
12/16	Away	Northwestern	146.0	70-86	Over	+10.0
12/21	Home	Murray St	155.0	79-85	Over	+9.0
12/29	Away	N Iowa	131.5	48-58	Under	-25.5
01/01	Away	S Illinois	146.5	70-75	Under	-1.5
01/04	Home	Illinois Chicago	144.5	66-59	Under	-19.5
01/07	Home	Illinois St	138.5	77-71	Over	+9.5
01/10	Away	Murray St	152.5	79-92	Over	+18.5
01/13	Away	Belmont	147.0	74-78	Over	+5.0
01/17	Home	N Iowa	130.5	54-44	Under	-32.5
01/21	Home	S Illinois	142.5	69-63	Under	-10.5
01/28	Home	Belmont	145.5	77-78	Over	+9.5
01/31	Away	Indiana St	145.5	76-72	Over	+2.5
02/03	Away	Bradley	144.5	65-72	Under	-7.5
02/06	Home	Evansville	136.0	70-63	Under	-3.0
02/09	Away	Drake	144.5	81-76	Over	+12.5
02/12	Away	Illinois St	138.5	64-86	Over	+11.5
02/15	Home	Indiana St	144.0	76-75	Over	+7.0
02/18	Home	Bradley	144.0	79-72	Over	+7.0
02/21	Away	Illinois Chicago	138.5	71-67	Under	-0.5
02/25	Home	Drake	146.5	74-71	Under	-1.5
02/28	Away	Evansville	138.5	79-80	Over	+20.5
03/05	Neutral	Indiana St	140.5	63-62	Under	-15.5
03/06	Neutral	Bradley	139.5	84-90	Over	+34.5

Drake Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Neutral	N Arizona	144.0	77-71	Over	+4.0
11/06	Home	Robert Morris	151.0	79-81	Over	+9.0
11/10	Home	Simpson College	--	89-51	Under	--
11/14	Home	SIU Edward	142.0	59-61	Under	-22.0
11/17	Away	Charleston	153.5	71-62	Under	-20.5
11/21	Home	Buena Vista	--	98-52	Under	--
11/28	Neutral	LSU	151.5	62-71	Under	-18.5
11/29	Neutral	Georgia Tech	138.5	84-74	Over	+19.5
12/02	Home	W Illinois	138.0	108-57	Over	+27.0
12/05	Home	UAB	148.5	69-74	Under	-5.5
12/13	Home	N Dakota St	144.5	94-99	Over	+48.5
12/18	Away	Murray St	156.5	72-81	Under	-3.5
12/21	Away	Evansville	141.5	66-65	Under	-10.5
12/29	Home	Illinois St	145.5	56-73	Under	-16.5
01/04	Home	Indiana St	149.5	74-72	Under	-3.5
01/07	Away	Bradley	144.5	66-93	Over	+14.5
01/10	Home	Belmont	147.5	76-78	Over	+6.5
01/14	Away	S Illinois	144.0	76-73	Over	+5.0
01/17	Away	Illinois Chicago	138.5	67-74	Over	+2.5
01/21	Home	Murray St	158.5	101-90	Over	+32.5
01/24	Away	Indiana St	151.5	76-62	Under	-13.5
01/28	Home	Evansville	142.0	82-78	Over	+18.0
01/31	Home	Bradley	150.5	73-87	Over	+9.5
02/03	Away	Belmont	154.5	90-103	Over	+38.5
02/06	Away	Illinois St	145.5	76-86	Over	+16.5
02/09	Home	Valparaiso	144.5	76-81	Over	+12.5
02/12	Home	Illinois Chicago	146.5	70-80	Over	+3.5
02/15	Away	N Iowa	138.5	62-86	Over	+9.5
02/18	Home	S Illinois	149.5	61-66	Under	-22.5
02/25	Away	Valparaiso	146.5	71-74	Under	-1.5
03/01	Home	N Iowa	137.5	53-75	Under	-9.5
03/05	Neutral	S Illinois	140.5	67-63	Under	-10.5
03/06	Neutral	Belmont	152.5	100-79	Over	+26.5
03/07	Neutral	Illinois Chicago	144.5	51-72	Under	-21.5