Wisconsin at Minnesota: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Feb 5, 2020 9:00 pm - Minneapolis, MN
Odds: Minnesota by 3.5, Total Points: 127

More Games From Feb 5, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring WIS MINN
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting WIS MINN
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 58.2 52.2
Field Goal % 47.6% 50.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 39.8 32.9
2 Point Shooting % 51.5% 57.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 18.4 19.3
3 Point Shooting % 39.1% 38.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 19.1 18.7
Free Throw % 75.1% 67.9%
Ball Control WIS MINN
Rebounds 32.7 29.6
Rebounds - Defensive 23.3 23.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 6.1
Turnovers 8.5 10.9
Blocked Shots 1.9 4.2
Steals 6.6 4.7
Fouls 14.7 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WIS MINN
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with WIS MINN
2 Point Attempt 50.1% 43.7%
3 Point Attempt 23.2% 25.6%
Player Fouled 22.7% 21.4%
Turnover 12.5% 15.9%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken WIS MINN
Shot Blocked 8.1% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 28.6% 20.8%